{"id":4843,"date":"2026-08-21T09:58:47","date_gmt":"2026-08-21T13:58:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/?post_type=product&#038;p=4843"},"modified":"2026-08-21T10:54:26","modified_gmt":"2026-08-21T14:54:26","slug":"probabilistic-aviation-forecasts","status":"publish","type":"product","link":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/produit\/probabilistic-aviation-forecasts\/","title":{"rendered":"Probabilistic Aviation Forecasts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Standard aviation products (TAFs, GFAs) present a single scenario over large areas \u2014 useful, but not enough to confidently judge whether tomorrow afternoon&#8217;s flying window will hold. Our probabilistic forecasts, derived from ensemble forecasts, quantify the probability that conditions will meet your minimums, hour block by hour block, to reduce last-minute cancellations and make better use of every flying window.<\/p>\n<h3>What you get<\/h3>\n<p>For each airfield or training area you monitor: hourly probabilities of ceiling, visibility, wind (including gusts and crosswind component), and precipitation over 0 to 48 hours, combined into a single probability of favorable flying conditions based on your minimums.<\/p>\n<h3>Examples of use<\/h3>\n<p>Flight schools: short- and medium-term lesson planning and proactive rescheduling of time slots \u00b7 Private pilots: choosing the best VFR flying window \u00b7 Aerial work and drone operators: scheduling weather-sensitive missions.<\/p>\n<h3>Delivery<\/h3>\n<p>Continuously updated web dashboard \u00b7 Daily email bulletin \u00b7 Alert when the probability of a favorable window changes significantly.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Plan your flights and flying lessons using probabilities of favorable conditions over 0 to 48 hours, calculated for your airfields and based on your own weather minimums.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}}},"product_brand":[],"product_cat":[95],"product_tag":[102],"type_intervention":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-4843","1":"product","2":"type-product","3":"status-publish","5":"product_cat-weather-forecasts","6":"product_tag-subscription","7":"desktop-align-left","8":"tablet-align-left","9":"mobile-align-left","11":"first","12":"instock","13":"taxable","14":"shipping-taxable","15":"product-type-simple"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Probabilistic Aviation Forecasts - Solutions Mesonet<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Probabilistic Aviation Forecasts - Solutions Mesonet\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Plan your flights and flying lessons using probabilities of favorable conditions over 0 to 48 hours, calculated for your airfields and based on your own weather minimums.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/produit\/probabilistic-aviation-forecasts\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Solutions Mesonet\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/people\/Solutions-Mesonet\/100070470109727\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-08-21T14:54:26+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/produit\/probabilistic-aviation-forecasts\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/produit\/probabilistic-aviation-forecasts\/\",\"name\":\"Probabilistic Aviation Forecasts - Solutions Mesonet\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2026-08-21T13:58:47+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-08-21T14:54:26+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/produit\/probabilistic-aviation-forecasts\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/produit\/probabilistic-aviation-forecasts\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/produit\/probabilistic-aviation-forecasts\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Accueil\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Produits\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/shop\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"Probabilistic Aviation Forecasts\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/\",\"name\":\"Solutions Mesonet\",\"description\":\"Solutions Mesonet collects, validates, and disseminates meteorological data using world-renowned technologies.\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Solutions Mesonet\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/logo-solutions-mesonet.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/logo-solutions-mesonet.png\",\"width\":512,\"height\":194,\"caption\":\"Solutions Mesonet\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/people\/Solutions-Mesonet\/100070470109727\/\",\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/solutions-mesonet\/\"]}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Probabilistic Aviation Forecasts - Solutions Mesonet","robots":{"index":"noindex","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Probabilistic Aviation Forecasts - Solutions Mesonet","og_description":"Plan your flights and flying lessons using probabilities of favorable conditions over 0 to 48 hours, calculated for your airfields and based on your own weather minimums.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/produit\/probabilistic-aviation-forecasts\/","og_site_name":"Solutions Mesonet","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/people\/Solutions-Mesonet\/100070470109727\/","article_modified_time":"2026-08-21T14:54:26+00:00","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Est. reading time":"1 minute"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/produit\/probabilistic-aviation-forecasts\/","url":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/produit\/probabilistic-aviation-forecasts\/","name":"Probabilistic Aviation Forecasts - Solutions Mesonet","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/#website"},"datePublished":"2026-08-21T13:58:47+00:00","dateModified":"2026-08-21T14:54:26+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/produit\/probabilistic-aviation-forecasts\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/produit\/probabilistic-aviation-forecasts\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/produit\/probabilistic-aviation-forecasts\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Accueil","item":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Produits","item":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/shop\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"name":"Probabilistic Aviation Forecasts"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/","name":"Solutions Mesonet","description":"Solutions Mesonet collects, validates, and disseminates meteorological data using world-renowned technologies.","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/#organization","name":"Solutions Mesonet","url":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/logo-solutions-mesonet.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/logo-solutions-mesonet.png","width":512,"height":194,"caption":"Solutions Mesonet"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/people\/Solutions-Mesonet\/100070470109727\/","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/solutions-mesonet\/"]}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/product\/4843","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/product"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/product"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4843"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/product\/4843\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4862,"href":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/product\/4843\/revisions\/4862"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4843"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"product_brand","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/product_brand?post=4843"},{"taxonomy":"product_cat","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/product_cat?post=4843"},{"taxonomy":"product_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/product_tag?post=4843"},{"taxonomy":"type_intervention","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.solutions-mesonet.org\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/type_intervention?post=4843"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}